Mr. Foreman, there has been a good bit of activity in your immediate area. Your well HELLING 150-101-7-6-1H operated by Liberty Resources LLC is still in DRL [drilling status], which probably means itâs awaiting fracking. There are wells to the east of you also in DRL status and more wells currently being drilled in the area.
There is a fair example of a well in the spacing just to the west of your spacing, the LINK 12-1H drilled by ZENERGY looks like it will be typical of the wells in the area. From looking at other Zenergy wells in the area, it looks like a cookie-cutter approach: same 26 frack stages (pretty good) and sand frack with no mention of ceramics, which I would consider so-so method, but it seems to work for drilling wells to a price point and getting a fair well out of it.
The production of the well just west of you: IP of 983 bbl calculated for the first day. First short 10-day month of production 6,171 bbl. First full month of production was 9,084 bbl. The next month was 2,343 for 22 days production and there had to be something else going on because that would be very atypical decline and production resumed at a greater rate and settled down in the next month of 31 days for 6,211 barrels and a pretty typical decline from that point down to 77.25 bbl a day after 15 months with a cumulative production of 60,263 bbl in the 15 months.
Zenergy did install a pump early on this well but I doubt they run it much if any yet because it really wasnât needed till about now. Not a monster well but I think it will be a commercially successful one.
Your operator, Liberty Resources, could see everything I could, would literally know where to plant the wellbore to have a successful well, how everyone else fracked their wells, and I donât think they will do much different. The wells I looked at in the area are like twins.
The first 6 monthsâ worth of checks looks like the ones that will make you most happy as it might take 2 or 3 years of production after that to equal those checks from the first 6 months. The upside is you could have 20 to 30 years of those smaller checks. I donât know if this news is good, bad, or neutral but at least I doubt you will have any surprises coming, barring mechanical failure.
60,000 barrels in 6 months, another 60,000 in 2 to 3 years, and anywhere between 1,000 and 1,500 barrels a month for years slowly declining from there to a point that they may produce the well only every other month running the pump for a couple of days (saving electricity) only to collect whatever has migrated into the wellbore.
All is dependent on the operator; they decide how and when to produce, when to put a pump on. Weather plays a factor sometimes. If you are afraid you canât get the oil to market, you would slow the well down so the tank doesnât overflow.
If it were mine, the above is what I would expect. I wouldnât expect a second well anytime soon but I wouldnât rule one out eventually. I hope this helps and good luck with your well.