# Spraberry Production Rate Decline **URL:** https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280 **Category:** Howard County, TX **Created:** [March 4, 2022, 5:30pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280 "2022-03-04T17:30:04Z") **Posts on this page:** 10 **Page:** 1
### Author: ![Scott\_Tiller](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/user_avatar/www.mineralrightsforum.com/scott_tiller/32/16144_2.png) [@Scott\_Tiller](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/Scott_Tiller) #### Post date: [March 4, 2022, 5:30pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/1 "2022-03-04T17:30:04Z")
Good Morning - What is the general production decline and life expectancy of a Howard County Spraberry well with a 2-3 mile lateral? Thanks. ---
### Author: ![DonnaL](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/e8c25b/32.png) [@DonnaL](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/DonnaL) #### Post date: [March 5, 2022, 3:05pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/2 "2022-03-05T15:05:49Z")
Curious to see an answer from others. We are to your southeast on Section 33. I have been attempting some predictions by looking at production reports on the RRC. ---
### Author: ![AJ11](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/a/838e76/32.png) [@AJ11](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/AJ11) #### Post date: [March 5, 2022, 10:28pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/3 "2022-03-05T22:28:59Z")
If the well is operated by a publicly traded company [SM, Oxy, etc.] you might find a production type curve in a quarterly earnings call PowerPoint / slide deck. ---
### Author: ![PeteR](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/p/278dde/32.png) [@PeteR](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/PeteR) #### Post date: [March 6, 2022, 12:23am UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/4 "2022-03-06T00:23:47Z")
Also if you use the magnifying glass icon for this forum, see extensive discussion of 3 mile laterals by Roy and NMOilboy from October 2021. ---
### Author: ![NMoilboy](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/user_avatar/www.mineralrightsforum.com/nmoilboy/32/20759_2.png) [@NMoilboy](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/NMoilboy) #### Post date: [March 6, 2022, 2:08am UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/5 "2022-03-06T02:08:11Z")
Something like this, maybe (it varies across the county). But this is a nice one because it starts at 1000 bopd so you can pretty easily see the ratios at subsequent times ![image](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/uploads/db5755/original/3X/4/d/4d369abc0df9b62c5d1840dcac2c22e77b9c78c6.png) This was only 10 years, but a well is probably going to be economic for 30-40 years, decline should get really flat at lower rates. A 3 mile lateral is going to make a bit more in the beginning and decline slightly slower. ---
### Author: ![DonnaL](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/e8c25b/32.png) [@DonnaL](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/DonnaL) #### Post date: [March 6, 2022, 1:05pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/6 "2022-03-06T13:05:02Z")
Do you have one of these charts for Gas? ---
### Author: ![NMoilboy](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/user_avatar/www.mineralrightsforum.com/nmoilboy/32/20759_2.png) [@NMoilboy](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/NMoilboy) #### Post date: [March 6, 2022, 4:11pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/7 "2022-03-06T16:11:34Z")
Sure, I live to serve. Same wells (fixed axis scale) ![image](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/uploads/db5755/original/3X/b/e/beb960632a6a89ec89104768fef412e62dab6d3a.png) Qi=1150 Di=1.386 B=0.95 This is just an example of someplace in Howard, may or may not fit your wells but probably not far off. Gas will decline slower. ---
### Author: ![Judy\_Jordan](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/j/439d5e/32.png) [@Judy\_Jordan](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/Judy_Jordan) #### Post date: [March 6, 2022, 6:03pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/8 "2022-03-06T18:03:20Z")
Thank you NMoilboy for this workup for both oil and gas. I understand that there are lots of potential variables for each owner / location, but this is a super visual. Another example of why we teach math above the levels of balancing a checkbook… (Old guidance counselors don’t die, we just retire and follow mineral forums online.) 😁 ---
### Author: ![DonnaL](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/letter_avatar_proxy/v4/letter/d/e8c25b/32.png) [@DonnaL](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/DonnaL) #### Post date: [March 7, 2022, 2:09pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/9 "2022-03-07T14:09:02Z")
Thank you I appreciate your time. ---
### Author: ![system](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/uploads/db5755/original/3X/6/c/6c7c56608c843272ad6e3662ce9562a5956f173e.png) [@system](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/u/system) #### Post date: [June 2, 2022, 5:30pm UTC](https://www.mineralrightsforum.com/t/spraberry-production-rate-decline/65280/10 "2022-06-02T17:30:07Z")
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